Zerodha expects F&O volumes to
be impacted by 20-30%; new norms aimed at discouraging leveraged bets
Volumes in the futures
and options (F&O) segment are expected to shrink by a third in the
coming months as the new peak margin norms come into effect from Tuesday. The
F&O segment contributes about 90 per cent to the overall market volumes,
nearly half of which is intra-day and heavily reliant on excess leverage.
The maximum
intra-day leverage that can be offered by a broker will now be restricted and
will keep reducing until September 1, 2021. After this, a broker can provide
maximum leverage that is equal to SPAN+exposure for the F&O segment and
VaR+ELM (minimum 20 per cent) for the cash segment.
SPAN is standard
portfolio analysis of risk, VAR is value at risk, and ELM is extreme risk
margin — metrics used to determine the risk to investment for a particular
security.
“As leverages
decrease, F&O volumes are likely to take a hit. At Zerodha,
we expect volumes to be impacted by 20-30 per cent in the coming months.
Brokerages that were aggressive in doling out intra-day leverages will be
impacted the most,” said Nithin Kamath, CEO, Zerodha, the country’s largest
broker by active clients.
So far, brokers
only reported margins at the end of the day, which is why they were able to
give additional leverage even if the client didn’t have minimum margins. This
was on the condition that the position will be squared off before the end of
the day. Going forward, there will be a short-margin penalty if brokers fail to
secure the minimum margin for intra-day positions.
“Sebi (Securities
and Exchange Board of India) has effectively capped the exposure that’s
possible in derivatives to 4 times margin in phase 1. And this will impact
retail options volumes, especially for options writers on expiry days, which
account for large volumes on the last Thursday of every month,” said Sandip
Raichura, CEO (retail), Prabhudas Lilladher.