Kristalina Georgieva said India had undertaken some important reforms that over the longer term would be beneficial for the country, but they do have some short-term impact.
The
Indian
economy experienced some abrupt slowdown in 2019 due to
turbulence in non-banking financial institutions and major reform
measures such as GST and demonetisation, but it is not in a
recession, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has said.
"The
Indian economy indeed has experienced an abrupt slowdown in 2019. We
had to revise our growth projections, downwards to four percent for
last year. We are expecting 5.8 per cent (growth rate) in 2020 and
then an upward trajectory to 6.5 percent in 2021," Georgieva
told a group of foreign journalists here on Friday.
"It
appears that the main reason for this slowdown was the non-banking
financial institutions experiencing a turbulence," she said on
the eve of Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presenting the
annual budget in Parliament on Saturday.
She
said India had undertaken some important reforms that over the longer
term would be beneficial for the country, but they do have some
short-term impact.
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"For
example, coming with the unified tax system, and the demonetisation
that took place. These are steps that over time are beneficial, but
of course they might, might be somewhat disruptive over short term,"
Georgieva said in response to a question.
The
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director said that there
is not a lot of fiscal space in India. But we also recognise that the
policies of the government on that side, on the fiscal side have been
prudent. We will see how the reading of the budget, the submission of
the budget goes, tomorrow, she said.
In
the medium-term, she said, the IMF remains optimistic about India.
This is why we see that upswing potential for the growth in the
country, she said.
Georgieva
said that the current economic slowdown cannot be described as a
recession. "No.... You're far from that. But it is a significant
slowdown, not the recession," she said.
The
IMF managing Director noted that the consumption in India also slowed
down and that contributed to the overall slowdown in the economy. The
IMF would be keen to see what India does to get relatively sound
macroeconomic fundamentals to pay off in terms of better growth
trajectory, she said ahead of the budget.