Thursday, June 4, 2020

In politically turbulent Thailand, how public health system curbed Covid-19


Why has Thailand performed so much better than other countries in containing the virus?


When the novel coronavirus began its swift spread from China in mid-January, people in Thailand — the favorite destination of Chinese tourists — feared the worst. Thousands of Chinese visitors had come into Thailand in January, including some 7,000 people from Wuhan, then the epicenter of the viral outbreak.

In the following weeks, the country waited for the other shoe to drop. It didn’t.
With the country decompressing and people returning to work under “new normal” conditions, a question many are asking is why the other shoe didn’t drop. Why has Thailand performed so much better than other countries in containing the virus?
True, Taiwan and Vietnam have a better record than Thailand, with the first recording 441 infections and seven deaths and the second 327 cases and no fatalities. But Thailand’s record is nothing to sneeze at: 3,083 infections and 57 deaths, with a 96 percent recovery rate.

This becomes starkly evident when one compares the explosive rates of infections in the US, Europe, and Brazil. Germany is one of Europe’s best performers, with its 83 million population not too far from Thailand’s 70 million — yet Germany’s 181,288 infections and 8,498 deaths are of another order altogether. And in Asia, if we go by the numbers, Thailand has done much better than Japan and South Korea, which are often written about as success stories.

An exhaustive study of why Thailand has managed to do better than most other big countries will probably not be available for some time to come. While waiting for that, let me take the risk of proposing an explanation stemming from my observations while stranded in Bangkok at the height of the pandemic, and from knowing something about a country I have followed over the years.

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