While taking a bigger perspective on the trend, the daily volume
chart might not perfectly depict the scenario. The weekly, monthly or year
volumes chart facilitate in taking a call on the same.
Volume plays a
crucial role in determining the trend and strength of a stock
or an index. Volume, purely in layman terms, is defined as the number of shares
traded during a given period of time. A continuous rise in volumes for a few
sessions suggests a strong bias for the traded unit - be it a stock or the
index. The trend depends on the positive or a negative close.
Candle formation
on the chart also assists in developing a strong confirmation, where a large
bullish or bearish candle affirms a stronger momentum on either side. Even
candlestick patterns like Morning Star, Evening Star and Bullish / Bearish
Engulfing help in giving proper confirmations as to where the index / stock is
headed. Such formations with rising volumes advocate a robust move.
How to identify a trend based on Volumes?
Rising volumes for
2-3 sessions with a positive close indicates a strong underneath strength.
The price is
rising /falling with low volumes shows change in trend in coming sessions. It
does support in reversal as well.
An unexpected rise
or fall in volume either suggests indecision or an uncertain development. It
could also mean the traded unit could be consolidating.
A stock or index
having gap up with high volumes shows the recent reversal has become the
bottom.
On a breakout /
breakdown, if the stock is having low or average volumes, then the probability
of a stock witnessing a corrective move is higher.
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