Illegal inflows have jumped after the Indian government increased import taxes in July and prices surged to record highs in September.
BS
: Surging gold
prices in India are keeping customs officials on their toes.
Illegal
inflows have jumped after the Indian government increased import
taxes in July and prices surged to record highs in September. Customs
officials have arrested people for attempting to smuggle in gold by
concealing it in bags, clothes and their rectums. On one flight
alone, officials caught 30 passengers trying to smuggle in 7.5 kg of
gold into Chennai.
“The
propensity to smuggle now is very high because every time you
increase the tax rate, you give that much more incentive to
smugglers,” P.R. Somasundaram, managing director for the region at
the World Gold Council, said in an interview. “So it will continue
like this unless measures are taken by not just the government but
also the trade which shares an equal responsibility to obliterate the
grey market.”
Gold
in India touched a record high of Rs 39,885 per 10 grams in early
September on higher import taxes and as the U.S-China trade conflict
and looser monetary policy boosted global benchmark spot prices.
While bullion has since retreated from the all-time high, it’s
still up 20% this year.
Smuggled
inflows of gold may jump 30% to 40% this year to 140 tons and rise
more in 2020, N. Anantha Padmanaban, said chairman of the All India
Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council. It could also constitute a bigger
percentage of India’s demand as official imports decline, rising to
as much as 14% this year from 12% a year earlier, according to the
WGC.
A
previous spate of smuggling occurred after India, which imports
almost all of its gold, increased the tax three times in 2013 to
control a record current-account deficit. Illegal inflows peaked at
225 tons in 2014 as smugglers attempted to bring in bullion,
including via planes and trains.
In
just the two months of September and October this year, nearly 40%
more gold was seized than the same period in 2018 from airports,
railway stations and border states, data on the Directorate of
Revenue Intelligence’s website showed. Data on the website is
available only for the last four months of 2018, limiting
year-on-year comparisons.
There
has been a jump in the smuggling of gold into India from China,
Taiwan and Hong Kong, the DRI said. The trend suggests smuggling
syndicates are using e-commerce platforms and couriers to smuggle
gold into India by hiding it in household and white goods, it said.
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