Showing posts with label CREDIT RATING AGENCIES. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CREDIT RATING AGENCIES. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Aberdeen Standard defensive on India, deems Centre's measures insufficient


Prime Minister Narendra Modi last month declared a $265-billion rescue package - equivalent to 10 per cent of the gross domestic product.


Aberdeen Standard Investments has adopted a “defensive stance” towards India in the short term, as government measures to support the economy have fallen short of reviving demand with lacking key reforms.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi last month declared a $265-billion rescue package — equivalent to 10 per cent of the gross domestic product — to help support businesses hit by one of the world’s strictest stay-at-home order as the nation grapples with an increase in coronavirus infections. Yet, almost half of the stimulus comprised monetary measures announced since February.

“We view the package as a tad underwhelming, given that it does little to boost demand or relieve stress for companies and sectors that have effectively come to a standstill during the lockdown,” Kristy Fong, senior investment director for Asian Equities, said in an email. It also lacked tax breaks or a plan for infrastructure spending and reforms to support the manufacturing sector.

The money manager, which oversees over $644 billion of assets globally, now has “heaviest exposure” relative to the benchmark in software exporters, materials, especially cement, and consumer staples. It expects stocks to remain volatile while the outbreak likely to be a hindrance to global economic recovery.
“State coffers have been hurt by the coronavirus relief measures, further limiting fiscal levers,” Fong said.


Monday, September 30, 2019

Why do credit rating agencies keep missing big Indian company defaults?


India's major rating firms include Crisil, the Indian unit of S&P Global; ICRA, the local unit of Moody's Investors Service.


Mounting debt failures in India have been catching rating companies off guard, underscoring continued challenges a year after the landmark failure of shadow bank IL&FS increased scrutiny of the industry.

Defaults at companies including Dewan Housing Finance Corp., Cox & Kings Ltd. and Altico Capital India Ltd. have occurred even as their long-term ratings indicated very low to moderate risk of non-payment.

Raters have not been able to detect stress in time,” said Ashutosh Khajuria, chief financial officer at Federal Bank Ltd. “Cutting credit profiles after the defaults is no rocket science.”

There’s a lot at stake as India tries to navigate a shadow-banking crisis and expand its debt market. The lack of more forewarning on payment problems has fueled questions about the quality of ratings, and could keep some investors away from corporate bonds, hindering market development.

India’s major rating firms include Crisil, the Indian unit of S&P Global; ICRA, the local unit of Moody’s Investors Service; Fitch-owned India Ratings & Research; and Care Ratings.

Crisil declined to comment on industry practices, adding that it didn’t rate most of the large credits that defaulted recently. ICRA, Care and India Ratings & Research didn’t immediately comment.

The securities market regulator strengthened disclosure rules earlier this year after rating firms failed to give ample warning on IL&FS group’s defaults from 2018, which triggered a prolonged cash squeeze in the nation. They now have to reveal annual default rates among the companies they evaluate.The new rules are set to improve the quality of ratings in the industry over time, said Somasekhar Vemuri, senior director at Crisil.

Business Standard