Bankers said that with private investment practically coming to a halt, there was little demand for corporate credit.
The
pace of year on year growth in commercial
bank credit more than halved to 7.1 per cent at end fortnight
(December 20, 2019) from 15.11 per cent a year ago, data released by
the Reserve Bank of India revealed.
Between
December 6 and December 20, lenders disbursed Rs 12,519 crore, taking
outstanding of scheduled commercial Rs 99.47 trillion, according to
Reserve Bank of India data. On the other hand, the deposits in the
same period increased 9.09 per cent to Rs 130.08 trillion by the end
of December 20. However, in the fortnight between December 6 and
December 20, the deposits decline 0.7 per cent.
Bankers
said that with private investment practically coming to a halt, there
was little demand for corporate credit. While activity may show an
uptick in the second half, it will hardly compensate for the extended
slowdown seen since the beginning of the year.
Companies
are battling stress and are deleveraging wherever possible. The
retail segment is showing steady growth, but it is not in a position
to make up for the slump in the industry segment.
Rating
agency ICRA
in a report last week had said, with the Indian economy caught in a
slowdown, bank credit is expected to expand at a muted 6.5-7 per cent
in 2019-20 (FY20) from 13.3 per cent in FY19.
This
will be the lowest in 58 years, mainly on account of lower working
capital requirements by companies and risk aversion among lenders.
According to ICRA, even in a high-growth scenario, wherein the second
half of FY20 sees the incremental bank credit rise to
Rs
6.5-7 trillion, there will still be a 40-45 per cent year-on-year
(YoY) decline.
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