The watch will also have an "irregular rhythm" notification feature, which alerts people to potential problems and there's every reason to believe it will generate many false positives.
Business
Stanadard : The newest version of the Apple
Watch will feature a heart monitor app that can do a form of an
electrocardiogram. Many have greeted this announcement as a great
leap forward for health. The president of the American Heart
Association even took part in the product launch.
For
a more measured response, it’s worth looking at potential
downsides, and it turns out there are a few.
The
upside potential is twofold. First, doctors could monitor — at a
distance — how patients with known heart problems are functioning
outside the office. Second, the device could diagnose heart problems
in people who don’t know they have them, picking up abnormal heart
rhythms earlier than would otherwise be possible.
With
respect to monitoring from a doctor, the Food and Drug Administration
“cleared” the app — an easier hurdle to surmount than
“approval.” But it specifically said people with diagnosed atrial
fibrillation, one of the most common heart arrhythmias, should not be
using the app.
If
that’s the case, the major potential for the device — which will
arrive later this year — is to pick up arrhythmias in otherwise
healthy people. That’s still a big selling point. Picking up
abnormal function earlier could theoretically lead to improvements in
health, such as reductions in strokes.
But
just because something seems like a good idea doesn’t mean it is.
No screening test is perfect. In the simplest sense, whenever we
consider the results of medical tests, they can be “positive” or
“negative.”
In
general, we would like people who are sick to have a positive
screening result, and people who are well to have a negative result.
Unfortunately, people who are sick sometimes have a negative result.
Those are false negatives. People who are well sometimes have a
positive result. Those are false positives.
Both
of these outcomes are worrisome. A false negative might leave someone
who needs medical help with a mistaken sense of assurance. Given that
relatively few people have serious, undiagnosed arrhythmias with no
symptoms (if people did, we would be screening for this more often),
this isn’t the major concern. False positives are, because they
cost us time and money, as well as cause emotional distress.
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