Sunday, March 7, 2021

Citigroup needs a new strategy for its lagging Asian consumer banks

 Citi has pan-Asian heft, garnering about 30% of its revenue in the region from ASEAN nations


Citigroup Inc.'s new Chief Executive Jane Fraser is facing an Asia question handed down to her from predecessor Mike Corbat's time: What to do about the consumer banks?

Out of the 19 that Citi operates globally, 12 are in the Asia-Pacific region. When Corbat took over as CEO in 2012, the unit — which now also includes five smaller consumer banks in Europe, the Middle East and Africa — was pulling in half the firm's Asia net income. Over the next seven years, the institutional clients group, which houses the corporate and investment banks, powered ahead and became twice as profitable as the stagnant consumer franchise. Some investors began to ask if it was time to exit.

My view then was, "Don't do it." It was too early to give up on the Asian consumer. But the pandemic has changed the math. Consumer banking in South Korea, the Philippines, Thailand and Australia is under review. Even in India, where Citi is the largest foreign bank, the retail business might be spun off, according to local media reports.

Covid-19 hit Citi with $17.5 billion in credit losses and allowances, two-thirds of which were in global consumer banking. A $900 million payment erroneously sent to Revlon Inc.'s lenders shaved off 0.3 percentage point from last year's 6.9 per cent overall return on tangible common equity, leaving it woefully short of the 14 per cent return at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Fraser wants to unlock value by simplifying the firm like "any true Scot," she says. It's about time. After a subprime crisis, a pandemic, and years of repair work in between, Citi shares are 55 per cent lower than in September 2008. In the same period, Jamie Dimon at JPMorgan has quadrupled the stock price.

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