This liquidity will return only in the next financial year as the government starts spending.
The
Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday offered a $5-billion swap
facility to banks to aid liquidity before the end of the financial
year.
The
auction will happen on March 26 and the buy/sell swap will run up to
March 28, 2022, or for a three-year duration. The system liquidity is
dry to the tune of little more than Rs 1 trillion, but it will be
acute in the coming days as advanced tax outflow (estimated at Rs 1.5
trillion) and the goods
and services tax (GST), which is estimated at Rs 1 trillion, will
suck out liquidity from the system.
This
liquidity will return only in the next financial year as the
government starts spending. Till then, rates may shoot up if adequate
liquidity support is not given to banks, experts say.
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“Banks
may not have adequate collateral to pledge to borrow from the RBI
because of high SLR (statutory liquidity ratio) and LCR (liquidity
coverage ratio) requirement, and so, this liquidity support through
dollar purchase would be needed to partially meet the requirement,”
said Soumyajit Niyogi, associate director, India Ratings and
Research. Another senior bond trader said this kind of liquidity
management was often done by the RBI and banks. However, it was not
in a large scale, so it was never notified.
The
central bank said the swap facility is part of its “liquidity
management toolkit” and would be to meet the durable liquidity
needs of the system. “The swap is in the nature of a simple
buy/sell foreign exchange swap from the Reserve Bank’s side. A bank
shall sell US dollars to the RBI and simultaneously agree to buy the
same amount of US dollars at the end of the swap period,” the
central bank said.
“The
US dollar amount mobilised through this auction would also reflect in
the RBI’s foreign exchange reserves for the tenor of the swap while
also reflecting in RBI’s forward liabilities,” the RBI said. This
means the foreign exchange reserve will see a bump of $5 billion,
while the RBI’s forward sell position will also go up by $5
billion. The RBI will buy dollar from banks, only to sell it three
years down the line to banks. At present, the RBI has a net sale
position of $3 billion in the forwards segment. “The market
participants would be required to place their bids in terms of the
premium that they are willing to pay to the Reserve Bank for the
tenor of the swap, expressed in paisa terms up to two decimal places.
The auction cut-off would be based on the premium,” the RBI said in
its statement.
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